Stocks vs. Bitcoin: US Stock Market Declines Before Market Open – Will BTC Sell-Off?

The S&P 500 (SPX) has fallen nearly 1% since the market closed yesterday.

Several stocks have fallen by nearly 20%, while Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) has decreased by more than 5%. With that in mind, how will the Bitcoin (BTC) price react to this decrease? BIC looks at the correlations between stocks vs Bitcoin.

SPX Falls During After-Hours

The SPX price began to fall immediately after the market closed last night. The price decreased by nearly 1%, falling to $4,151 early this morning. 

A slight bounce has begun, but the price is still 0.8% below yesterday’s close.

The SPX drop has created a resistance area at $4,165, above which the price currently attempts to break out.

SP500 30-Minute Chart. Source: TradingView

Whenever the price of an asset falls considerably during after-hours, it creates a gap since the next day’s opening is lower than the previous one’s close. 

Since yesterday’s close is $4,186 and the current price is $4,167, a gap could occur when the market opens today at 09:30 ET.

Similar gaps were created on June 20, August 2, and September 21 (red icons).

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When considering the gap’s position, it could be classified as an exhaustion gap. An exhaustion gap occurs at the end of a price pattern and is considered a final attempt at reaching new lows.

SP500 Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

The Bitcoin price fell significantly in the two most recent gaps, on September 21 and August 2 (red). However, BTC increased considerably in the June 20 gap (white).

It is worth mentioning that the correlation (blue) between SPX and Bitcoin is currently at – 0.65 (green circle).

A negative correlation means that an upward movement in the SP500 is expected to cause a downward movement in BTC and vice versa. 

SPX&BTC Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

While this could be seen as a sign that BTC is expected to increase due to the downward gap, it is worth mentioning that the correlation was at -0.60 during the August 2 gap, when the BTC price fell sharply.

Biggest Stock Losers

The five biggest pre-market losers so far are:

Align Technology, Inc. (ALGN): 25.10% decrease. MaxLinear, Inc (MXL): 19.84% decrease. Blue Hat Interactive Entertainment (BHAT): 18.97% decrease. Akili, Inc (AKLI): 18.50% decrease. FaZe Holding Inc. (FAZE): 15.68% decrease.

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Cryptocurrency-related stocks are also suffering. This is evident in the COIN price, which trades at $73.41, more than 5% below yesterday’s close. 

COIN/USDT Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

COIN has traded between $66 and $80 since the start of August, and the decrease put the price in the middle of this trading range. 

While bitcoin remains relatively strong this week. Investors will bee keeping a close eye on the stocks vs. Bitcoin correlation this week.

For BeInCrypto‘s latest crypto market analysis, click here.

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